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Authors Posts by Jack Phillips

Jack Phillips

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Mr. Phillips is responsible to assist the association with health policy, which primarily includes member communication and advocacy with the Governor’s office, General Assembly, and state regulatory agencies. Mr. Phillips was most recently at the Pennsylvania Department of State as Director of Legislative Affairs.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

February 1, 2021 

Harrisburg, PA — Pennsylvania collected $2.7 billion in General Fund revenue in January, which was $162.4 million, or 5.8 percent, less than anticipated, Revenue Secretary Dan Hassell reported today. Fiscal year-to-date General Fund collections total $21.2 billion, which is $307.4 million, or 1.5 percent, above estimate.

Sales tax receipts totaled $1.1 billion for January, which is $9.9 million above estimate. Year-to-date sales tax collections total $7.5 billion, which is $64.3 million, or 0.9 percent, more than anticipated.

Personal income tax (PIT) revenue in January was $1.1 billion, which is $271.9 million below estimate. This brings year-to-date PIT collections to $8.5 billion, which is $235.9 million, or 2.7 percent, below estimate.

The January corporation tax revenue of $186.3 million was $61.3 million above estimate. Year-to-date corporation tax collections total $2.4 billion, which is $371.7 million, or 18.7 percent, above estimate.

Inheritance tax revenue for the month was $101.6 million, which is $14.8 million above estimate. This brings the year-to-date total to $706.6 million, which is $29.1 million, or 4.3 percent, above estimate.

Realty transfer tax revenue was $54.4 million for January, which is $15.5 million above estimate. This brings the fiscal-year total to $371.3 million, which is $34.7 million, or 10.3 percent, more than anticipated.

Other General Fund tax revenue, including cigarette, malt beverage, liquor, and gaming taxes, totaled $112.5 million for the month, which is $0.6 million below estimate. This brings the year-to-date total to $1.1 billion, which is $19.5 million, or 1.8 percent, above estimate.

Non-tax revenue totaled $26.3 million for the month, which is $8.8 million above estimate. This brings the year-to-date total to $691.6 million, which is $24.1 million, or 3.6 percent, above estimate.

In addition to the General Fund collections, the Motor License Fund received $197.2 million for the month, which is $10.5 million below estimate. Fiscal year-to-date collections for the fund — which include the commonly known gas and diesel taxes as well as other license, fine, and fee revenues — total $1.6 billion, which is $16.3 million, or 1.0 percent, below estimate.

Media Contact: Jeffrey Johnson

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
January 28, 2021 

Harrisburg, PA – Today Department of Human Services (DHS) Secretary Teresa Miller outlined recent changes to the Employment, Advancement, and Retention Network (EARN) and Work Ready programs – two comprehensive employment and training programs that provide support for people who receive Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) benefits in order to obtain employment skills, prepare for work, and sustain good jobs.

The previous iteration of DHS’s largest employment and training programs prioritized a work-first job placement in any job, regardless of job quality and participant readiness. An analysis of these programs found that, for people who left TANF for employment, about 50 percent returned to TANF within a year.

“Our goal at DHS is to help families reach long-term economic sustainability. We want to be advocates and partners for the people we serve and use TANF both to meet essential needs and empower people to take a step forward for themselves and their family. To accomplish this, we recognized that we need to shift how we serve this population. One immediate way to do so was in the way we operate our employment and training programs,” said DHS Secretary Teresa Miller. “Last year, we launched a redesign of these programs to make sure we were meeting the needs of the people we serve. It is our hope that this redesign will put the people we serve on the path to economic stability and independence.”

Rather than prioritizing a job regardless of job quality and participant readiness, the redesign includes a more thorough assessment that addresses clients holistically to support financial independence. DHS worked with all 22 local workforce development boards and multiple community action agencies and used direct feedback from participants, caseworkers, and providers to shape the new design, which officially launched on July 1, 2020.

Under the redesigned programs, each person will work with a caseworker to identify strengths and barriers in reaching career goals and will receive the support they need to meet those goals. The redesign introduces a focus on education and training activities that will help participants get the skills and certifications they need in the workforce, including GED diplomas or job credentials. Participants will also have access to case managers, individualized coaching, and mental health counseling services. These supports will be available for one year following sustainable employment, meaning that participants will have continued support if issues arise within the first year of employment to help them problem solve and establish stability and independence during this time.

The redesign also supports participants by addressing barriers to employment so that employment can not only be achieved but also maintained. In many instances, participants may be eligible for financial support for materials, supplies, child care, transportation costs, and more in order to successfully participate in employment.

Funding for the redesign comes from an increase in the amount of federal TANF block grant funding allocated to the employment and training programs to support these expanded services. DHS also adjusted the programs’ funding structure to allow providers more flexibility to implement these services and modified incentives for vendors to help get people into job training programs.

DHS will work closely with program providers throughout the year to deliver these new services and to evaluate how these changes impact participants. They will also be monitoring if providers achieve established performance outcomes such as whether a client has achieved long-term employment. 

Current participation in the employment and training programs has been shifted to remote services due to COVID-19. In the months since the redesign’s launch, more than 300 people have interacted with a licensed counselor via ongoing counseling, more than 100 participants have been engaged in remediating their barriers to employment, and 112 individuals have met at least one of their personal goals in their individualized employment plan. DHS is continuing to support families by providing skills trainings and mental health service referrals, continuing job-related work activities and services, and implementing options to ensure that participants have adequate devices where possible.

“We want to create programs that give people the space they need to envision a better future for themselves and their families and then provide them with the tools they need to actualize those dreams. This is our opportunity to really try to help change circumstances for parents and families living in incredibly difficult circumstances. No one should have to go at this alone, and we must take a community-wide approach to help people know that they will be supported throughout their journey. We hope that this employment and training redesign will help our clients achieve just that,” said Secretary Miller.

Only families with children are eligible for TANF. Job loss, domestic violence, child care availability, and the need for education are just some of the reasons that someone may need the support of the TANF program. Statistics show that in Pennsylvania, black individuals and families are disproportionately impacted by poverty. This disproportionality is also reflected in the demographics of our public assistance program enrollment – 53 percent of TANF beneficiaries are black. Discussions about TANF must acknowledge the ways that racial inequities and systemic racism impact the populations DHS serves, and we must work to actively dispel the myth that poverty and enrollment in public assistance programs are tied to some kind of moral or personal failure.

Applications for TANF and other public assistance programs can be submitted here. Those who prefer to submit paper documentation can pick up an application at their local County Assistance Office (CAO), where social distancing protocols are in place, They can also print from the website or request an application by phone at 1-800-692-7462. They can then mail it to their local CAO or place it in a CAO’s secure drop box if available. You do not need to know your own eligibility in order to apply. While CAOs remain closed, work processing applications, determining eligibility, and issuing benefits continue. Clients should use COMPASS or the MyCOMPASS PA mobile app to submit necessary updates to their case files while CAOs are closed.

For more information on DHS’s employment and training programs, visit this webpage.

MEDIA CONTACT: Erin James

By Chris Comisac, Bureau Chief, Capitolwire

Harrisburg (January 21) – It was a good news-bad news report delivered by the state Independent Fiscal Office on Thursday as the agency presented its Economic and Budget Outlook for Fiscal Years 2020 – 2021 to 2025 – 2026.

The relatively good news is that Pennsylvania managed to get through the COVID-19 recession without a major hit to the immediate state budget thanks in large part to a significant amount of federal stimulus dollars and a far quicker economic turnaround than most had expected.

“Based on our projections of revenues and expenditures for the current fiscal year, we are projecting an ending balance of $1.5 billion,” said Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) Director Matt Knittel during Thursday’s virtual briefing.

Noting that the $1.5 billion figure is substantially higher than the “zero” that had been on the general fund financial statement for the final fiscal year (FY) 2020 – 2021 balanced budget that was adopted in November, Knittel explained, “We have an increase of up to $1.5 billion largely due to the improved economic outlook [and] the stronger-than-expected revenue collections since that time.”

The bad news is that all of those one-time federal dollars (and other budget-balancing strategies), while helpful in the short term to buoy Pennsylvania residents and the state’s fiscal health, are still only one-time and will leave a sizable structural deficit to be addressed in the coming fiscal years – the IFO forecasts it to be $2.5 billion for the coming 2021 – 2022 fiscal year – barring any additional federal or state efforts that boost commonwealth revenues.

Even more concerning is the forecast by the IFO that most of the state’s job losses that have not already been recovered since the losses in the spring of 2020 are likely to take far longer to recover with some to never be recovered.

Pointing out that the housing and financial crisis of 2008 was a significant contraction of more than four percent with employment needing six years to revert to pre-recession level, the IFO explains that the COVID-19 recession produced an immediate contraction of 1.1 million jobs – or around 18 percent – so they are assuming payroll employment will also require six years to revert to the pre-recession level.

Not including self-employed individuals, Pennsylvania’s latest employment data – for November – shows 455,000 fewer people employed than a year ago. Knittel said that he expects that number to be a bit higher – due to some business closures during the holidays – when new December data is released in about a week.

Additionally, there’s been a contraction of the state’s labor force – those working or looking for work – of approximately 260,000 compared to a year earlier.

Pointing to the substantial increase in labor productivity nationally – up by 10.6 percent for the second quarter of 2020 and 4.6 percent for the third quarter when for all of 2019, productivity increased by 1.7 percent – Knittel suggested that that could mean that many lost jobs aren’t returning with those unrecovered jobs being in the retail trade, food service, accommodation, and personal services sectors.

“This [productivity] is much higher than we’ve seen in the past decade, which was usually running about one or two percent, and it’s a dramatic takeaway from the impact of the COVID-19 recession,” said Knittel. “We are seeing a dramatic increase in labor productivity, and this could occur for many reasons – employers might ask their employees to do more, or they might invest in labor-saving machinery and technology that requires less labor.

“But this improvement in labor productivity, which has not reversed, does suggest that a lot of the job loss now will not be made up, and part of that is due to the fact that employers and businesses are now more productive from the changes that they have implemented in response to the COVID-19 recession.”

Because of the impact on the state’s employment numbers, the expectation is that Pennsylvanians’ cash income will take a hit once current federal assistance and other programs end.

Calendar year (CY) 2020 saw wage income and business and capital income drop – by $5 billion and $8 billion respectively – due to the impact of COVID-19, but that was more than offset by roughly $59 billion in federal stimulus in various forms (along with a $6 billion improvement in retirement savings), which the IFO says produced the strongest cash income growth since CY1998 ($52 billion or 8.3 percent) and a 2.6 percent increase (adjusted for shifts and one-time transfers) in general fund revenues for the first six months of the current fiscal year.

However, looking ahead to CY2021, even though there will be some improvement in wage income due to improving employment figures, the IFO analysis projects that it won’t be nearly enough to offset the loss in federal assistance programs, and an overall drop of $5 billion, or 0.8 percent, in cash income will occur. Again, the IFO acknowledges that this assumes that there’s no additional federal stimulus though there are already talks of even more stimulus coming from the federal level.

With the potential for a contraction of cash income, Knittel said that “that feeds into our projections of general fund revenues where we have very modest growth” for the coming fiscal year. However, he noted that beyond 2021, the expectation is that cash income will return to a steadier state of growth, which he put at roughly four percent.

But, like many of the jobs that won’t be returning, some of Pennsylvania’s economic growth potential has been lost due to the COVID-19 recession.

Knittel said the IFO is forecasting a larger structural deficit, “and one of the main drivers for that is the fact that economic growth has downshifted.”

“It’s a permanent loss to a lower growth path, and that’s one of the main things that’s driving the larger structural deficit,” said Knittel.

The IFO projects a loss of $63 billion (or 7.1 percent of what the IFO had projected in 2019) in gross domestic product (GDP) for 2021, a loss of $58 billion (or 6.3 percent) in 2022, and a loss of $56 billion (or 5.8 percent) in 2023. That lower growth path impacts expected wages paid to Pennsylvanians to the tune of $11 billion to $12 billion annually, which Knittel explained translates into an annual loss of $350 million in personal income tax revenues and $150 million in sales and use tax revenue.

According to the IFO, even though the state will end the current fiscal year with nearly $1.5 billion in excess revenue, the structural deficit at the outset for fiscal year 2021 – 2022 is forecast to be $2.5 billion, growing to $2.6 billion in FY2022 – 2023 but then slowly declining to roughly $2 billion in FY2025 – 2026. To further illustrate the impact of COVID-19, along with the policies pursued to address it and balance the state budget, the IFO in 2019 had forecast that the structural deficit would be $959 million for FY2021 – 2022, $1.3 billion for FY2022 – 2023, and then gradually declining toward $1 billion in later years.

In addition to the economic challenges created by the COVID-19 recession, the IFO notes that quite a lot of the structural deficit projected for FY2021 – 2022 is due to one-time revenue sources used to balance the current FY2020 – 2021 state budget:

  • Special fund transfers totaling $431 million;
  • A $100 million transfer from the Budget Stabilization Fund (the Rainy Day Fund) authorized under Act 114 of 2020;
  • A $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA) to offset Department of Human Services (DHS) program costs, though, as with past efforts to transfer that funding, the latest attempt has been challenged in federal court, and it is uncertain whether these funds will be received during the current fiscal year;
  • The use of $1.33 billion in federal CARES Act coronavirus relief funds (CRF) to offset general fund costs in FY 2020 – 2021 for the Department of Criminal Justice ($1.06 billion), the Pennsylvania State Police ($226 million), the Department of Human Services ($30 million), and the Department of Health ($14 million);
  • Federal funds associated with the temporary increase of Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) payments used to reimburse states for Medicaid program costs provide $2.07 billion in state support in FY2020 – 2021, but that increase is scheduled to expire following the termination of the national public health emergency declaration related to COVID-19;
  • A short-term managed care payment shift by the state Department of Human Services of $480 million;
  • A delay by the state Department of Human Services of county child welfare costs (approximately $75 million) until FY2021 – 2022; and
  • A temporary reduction in agency contributions for retiree health care in FY2020 – 2021 that is not expected to continue in FY2021 – 2022.

Beyond FY2021 – 2022, lawmakers will have to account for a new transfer of $469 million of sales and use tax revenue from the general fund to the Public Transportation Trust Fund, but by FY2022 – 2023, the IFO forecasts that revenue growth will begin to exceed expenditure growth (which the IFO says will contract somewhat due in large part to an expected decline of the school-age population), helping to slowly shrink the structural deficit.

As always, the IFO notes their forecasts for outlying years “assume the absence of a recession, low interest rates, and moderate inflation and therefore, likely represent a scenario that leans optimistic.”

The Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs (DDAP) will be holding a training for inpatient drug and alcohol providers on completing the XYZ package, including the changes that have been made to the current package. The training will take place next Thursday, January 28, 2021 from 2:30 pm – 3:30 pm. Below is the link to the Skype meeting where the training will occur. If providers (or applicable staff) cannot attend due to scheduling conflicts or maximum capacity issues with the training, there is no need to worry. The training will be recorded and available on demand on the DDAP website afterwards.

Additionally, the fiscal year (FY) 2021/2022 XYZ package was released yesterday and is currently available for download from the Pennsylvania Association of County Drug and Alcohol Administrators (PACDAA) website. Providers attending the training may want to download a copy of the package and review it or have it available to reference during the training.

If you would please forward this notice to any of your members who are inpatient providers, it would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks in advance, and as always, if you should have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out.

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